EVALUASI PELAKSANAAN PEMBANGUNAN; ANALISIS KINERJA EKONOMI MENUJU INDONESIA EMAS
Keywords:
kinerja ekonomi, sektor keungan, indikator makroekonomi, Indonesia EmasAbstract
Menjelang 100 tahun pascakemerdekaan, target utama dari visi Indonesia Emas adalah masyarakat yang makmur serta keluar dari jebakan kelas menengah menuju masyarakat berpendapatan tinggi. Evaluasi pencapaian visi tersebut diuji melalui keberhasilan kinerja ekonomi, yaitu tingginya PDB, PDB per capita, serta rendahnya kemiskinan dan ketimpangan distribusi pendapatan. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis pengaruh sektor keuangan (utang, hibah, dan investasi asing) serta indikator makroekonomi (ekspor neto dan inflasi) di Indonesia selama periode 2000 – 2026. Analisis dalam penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan data sekunder dan regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa sektor keuangan yang terdiri dari utang, hibah dan investasi asing memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap peningkatan PDB dan PDB per capita. Net ekspor dan inflasi sebagai indikator makroekonomi terbukti memiliki dampak negatif terhadap kemiskinan dan ketimpangan distribusi pendapatan. Pada saat yang sama, peningkatan sektor keuangan memiliki pengaruh negatif terhadap kemiskinan dan ketimpangan, sebaliknya, nilai impor yang lebih tinggi dari ekspor dan inflasi berpengaruh positif terhadap kemiskinan dan ketimpangan.
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